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League One Power Rankings - Week 23

By NICHOLAS MURRAY -, 09/07/21, 2:30PM EDT


Greenville’s win boosts postseason chances as fortune falls in Triumph SC’s favor

As Greenville Triumph SC’s losing streak continued in recent weeks, an interesting thing started to happen.

While the results still weren’t going the side’s way, dropping Greenville below the playoff, the performances themselves were looking and feeling improved. You could see it in the shot totals – in its previous three outings Greenville had held the upper hand in total shots – and the individual xG matchups that Triumph SC was getting there.

What had been lacking was sharpness in finishing, with only five shots on target out of 46 total shots. On Friday night against Toronto FC II, that ratio turned in a better direction, so while Triumph SC had fewer shots than their visitors and a lower xG mark, it ran out with three goals on four shots on target, almost equaling its total from its past three contests.

It’s a positive sign for Greenville, which has had good underlying numbers much of the campaign. According to American Soccer Analysis’ data, Triumph SC’s cumulative Expected Points mark this season sits at 28.97xPts this season, third-highest in the league, with the side’s slight underperformance to its xG and xGA figures for the campaign the likely reason for the difference to its current point total.

As narrow as the margins are in the League One playoff race right now – as evidenced by Greenville’s jump up to third on the back of that one win – should Triumph SC build on its breakthrough, a place in the postseason – and at least one home game – is there for the taking.

Here’s how everything else looks right now. As always, feel free to come and yell at me on Twitter (@NJEMurray).

Biggest Movers






1 Union Omaha
Week 23: v. TOR
Last Week: 2
A convincing road victory at North Carolina FC sent los Buhos back on top of the standings, and back in the driver’s seat for first place with a game in hand on Chattanooga.
2 Chattanooga Red Wolves SC
Week 23: v. NTX, @ GVL
Last Week: 1
Back-to-back scoreless draws have cost the Red Wolves, but they can still push Omaha until the finish line with seven games to go.
3 FC Tucson
Week 23: v. FTL
Last Week: 9
A four-point week – including victory against the Revolution II on Wednesday – has pushed Tucson above the playoff line, another indicator of how wins are going to matter down the final stretch.
4 North Texas SC
Week 23: @ CHA, @ TRM

Last Week: 4
Four consecutive draws keep NTSC treading water, but they’re going to need to start picking up wins again soon to be sure of a playoff place.
5 Richmond Kickers
Week 23: @ MAD
Last Week: 6
The past week’s postponement means a busy run-in for the Kickers with nine games to go, but the rest of the league’s results meant they’re still right in the mix ahead of Saturday’s visit to Madison.
6 New England Revolution II
Week 23: @ NC
Last Week: 3
The Revolution II are winless in four after the past week, they’ll need to get back on track against North Carolina on Saturday to right the ship.
7 Fort Lauderdale CF
Week 23: @ TUC
Last Week: 10
A draw with the Red Wolves is a decent enough result, and it sets up a great showdown with FC Tucson on Saturday out in Arizona with the teams now level on points.
8 Greenville Triumph SC
Week 23: v. CHA
Last Week: 12
Greenville showed off far sharper finishing on Friday night against Toronto. More of that and it will be plain sailing to the postseason.
9 Toronto FC II
Week 23: @ OMA
Last Week: 5
Toronto’s undefeated run came to an end in Greenville, but because it was one of only three decisive results out of six for the week the Young Reds’ playoff chances weren’t hurt too much.
10 Forward Madison FC
Week 23: v. RIC
Last Week: 7
Madison should look to Greenville for inspiration this week. A win against Richmond on Saturday night at home, and that could be you up above the playoff line, Flamingos.
11 South Georgia Tormenta FC
Week 23: v. NTX
Last Week: 8
South Georgia earned another point, but it’s still below the playoff line with the most games played in the league so far. The wins have to start coming, and fast.
12 North Carolina FC
Week 23: v. NE
Last Week: 11
Omaha showed – as if the standings didn’t already – how wide the gap between the top and the bottom can be when the better team comes to play.

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